In ‘Julius Caesar’ by Shakespeare, the Soothsayer named Spurinna had been warning Caesar from the month of February to “Beware the Ides of March.”
On the day of the Ides of March, the 15th of March,
Caesar said mockingly to Spurinna—“the Ides of March are come.”
Spurrina replied, “Aye, the Ides of March are come but not gone.”
Caesar was assassinated later that day.
There are no Ides of February. The Ayatollah did not need a soothsayer. The warning signs had been there all along since a wannabe King ascended the throne at the now gold-plated palace at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, DC.
As the Middle East boils again, what does wisdom say? The twin hurricanes of Netanyahu and Trump will blow up Iran into smithereens. They go to war gleefully like children playing video games. For the sake of country and people, whatever is left of the leadership in Iran should spare its people more suffering.
The pretext for the latest escalation continues to remain Iran’s insistence at building a nuclear bomb.
This is not true.
Now, there’s a tiny nation called Oman in the Middle East. They have a history of negotiating peace between countries that cannot sit in the same room to talk. Oman is to the Middle East peace initiative what Geneva has been to the world since 1945. Negotiations brokered by Oman had just been concluded in Geneva between the American delegation led by the President’s son-in law, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, Trump’s Special Envoy to the Middle East. Essentially, Iran had agreed “never ever” to possess nuclear weapons. They also agreed to open up their facilities to the International Atomic Energy Agency, (IAEA) and American inspectors.
For Trump and Netanyahu, the talks were at best, a diversion.
Israel is the only undeclared nuclear power in the region.
One commentator wonders how a tiny nation such as Israel manages to impose its will on the entire region. They do not want any other country in the region to possess nuclear capability.
On September 6, 2007, the Israeli Air Force bombed the suspected Syrian nuclear reactor at Al-Kibar. Known as “Operation Outside the Box” or “Operation Orchard,” the airstrike targeted a facility that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) later concluded was “likely a nuclear reactor.”
In 1981, Israel bombed the Iraqi nuclear reactor (known as Osirak or Tammuz 1) in a surprise airstrike codenamed Operation Opera (or Operation Babylon).
Israeli fighter jets destroyed the facility near Baghdad to “prevent Iraq from developing nuclear weapons.”
Iran as Persia has a glorious past. They have a history that predates the creation of Israel and the birth of the United States.
They were once a World Power dominating everywhere from Egypt to India and everywhere in between.
They, just like any former world power like the British Empire, the Roman Empire or the Ottoman Empire ought to understand that for every superpower, there’s a season and a time. We live in the age of American dominance. How long it will last is another question. If you want to be a successful nation today, you must be wise to be friends with the United States.
It is what it is.
IMPLICATIONS FOR THE REGION.
Iran does not have friends in the region. The only relationship they seek in the region is dominance. No one likes them. No one wants to be friends with them. There’s no greater proof of this than what has happened in the last two days. The moment American bombs began to land in Iran, Iranian bombs were being launched simultaneously into all the tiny nations around them—Kuwait, Oman, UAE, and Saudi Arabia. These are nations that play no role in the conflict between Iran, Israel and the United States.
China is too busy making money. They have no appetite for war. They know that the West is envious of them as manufacturers to the world. In the event of a war, in one week, combined American and European bombers would be only too glad to blanket the skies over Guangdong, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Dongguan and Guangzhou to level all their factories to the ground.
China will be wise to stop at issuing statements of condemnation through their representatives at the UN.
As for Russia, they have their hands full in a war that they had hoped to win in three days, but which has dragged on for 4 full years and has now entered the fifth year. There’s no one to come to Iran’s aid. The only option open to them at this stage is a quick surrender. The alternative is to continue fighting. This is neither viable nor sensible. Their country will be turned into dust. Ask Libya. In one day, 2,800 tomahawk missiles were fired into Libya in pursuit of one man.
What did Libya do?
WHAT DOES THE FUTURE HOLD?
For Iranians, when they embraced change in 1979 from the repressive regime of Shah Reza Pahlavi, they did not know that they had welcomed the devil to rule them. Freedom of the press was abrogated. Women lost their rights. It did not take long for the the country to go to war with Iraq. Every enemy of America or Israel looked to Iran for help to “destroy Israel and America, the great Satan.” Iran lashed out at the world. They destroyed Lebanon through proxy Hezbollah. They sponsored Hamas “to drive Israel into the Sea,”and they supported a faction of the Houthis in Yemen to wage war against Saudi Arabia. Sanctions were imposed by Western nations, but they thrived by finding ways around the sanctions. The country could do much better by relinquishing a role as sponsors of hateful rhetoric and actions and start to do business with the rest of the world. The ordinary people of Iran, while they may welcome change away from the tyranny of religion and suppression, they do not wish to become rudderless like Iraq, Libya, Syria or Afghanistan.
No one wants foreign occupation. There is now no rallying point for the people to hold on to. In the absence of a functioning federal government, the country may degenerate into Civil War and their latter fate would become worse than the former.
THE EPSTEIN FILES
One perfect way to describe the process employed by Republicans in trying to get to the bottom of the matter in the Epstein files is the expression “chasing shadows.”
The only person that they should be asking questions is being allowed to launch a war to distract the American people. They say he cannot be brought before the committee because he is a sitting president. Bill Clinton was made to answer 100 questions over the Monica saga as a sitting president. He was called again to answer questions as a former president only last week. Not only that, his wife was also harassed by the same committee. If Clinton, why not Trump?
The Midterms results may provide an answer to that question.
KIDNAPPERS ON RAMPAGE.
News from Ewu, in Edo Central is grim. Kidnappers are said to be holding sway. Vigilantes are crying for help. They need real help.
The governor has deployed enormous resources to fight this scourge.
The good news about this is that Mr. President has promised to give us State police. That must be music to all ears.
Until we meet again next week, goodbye and Goodluck.
Brilliant piece as always my Senior.
Thank you for sharing.
“For the sake of country and people, whatever is left of the leadership in Iran should spare its people more suffering.”
Thank you for sharing.
Waiting for state police in Nigeria